Are You Here Because You Want To
LESSEN The Impact Of SWINE FLU
On Your Family This Fall?
Or Do You Need To Understand Why
NOBODY Has Prepared Themselves
For The Coming Pandemic?
As I Write This In October 2009 I Know That Many
Have Squandered The 5 Month Advance Warning They
Received About Swine Flu. Whereas People And Hospitals
Could Have Prepared Themselves For The Pandemic Ahead
Of Time, They Did Not. Now The Likelihood That Someone
In Your Family Will Be Infected Is Greater Than 70 Percent.
Use The Resource On This Page To Cut Through The
Confusion And Achieve Expert Level Understanding
Of The Current Swine Flu Pandemic In Less Than One Hour.
With Swine Flu Vaccine Currently In VERY Short Supply Your
Knowledge About This Virus May Be The Deciding Factor In Whether
Or Not You Or Family Members Succumb To Infection
Within The Next Few Weeks.
By The Time It Is Done Circling The Globe
Swine Flu Will Have Reached 2 Billion People...
From: Stephen Carter, Ph.D.
If you are wondering where my assertion comes from that someone within your immediate
family will begin exhibiting swine flu symptoms
before the pandemic has run
its course, with a likelihood greater than 70 percent
, it is based on the fact
that this pandemic will eventually infect more than 2 billion people. From
that number you can easily figure out the likelihood that a three-member family will
escape infection (it is 3 chances in 10). I will not bore you with the calculation.
Because I have a Ph.D. in physics you can assume that I can do back of the envelope
calculations without excessive difficulty.
Some families will be able to reduce that likelihood of infection significantly by
getting themselves inoculated before swine flu reaches their front door. Unfortunately,
for most families, they will not be given that chance. You will learn why later in this
Now, if you are less than 41 years of age you will have never experienced a pandemic,
so you can be forgiven for being skeptical about the need to prepare. This may explain
why virtually nobody
has taken this pandemic seriously to date. No one has
prepared themselves, no one has a clue what they would do if swine flu mutated tomorrow
and began hospitalizing people in huge numbers. It is a curious phenomenon of human
nature, but people simply refuse to acknowledge risk until it is too late to act to
protect themselves against it. You see this in the period leading up to someone's first
earthquake, or hurricane - the threat just does not seem all that dreadful until the
moment they find themselves caught in one, at which point they find that their
thinking changes dramatically.
Trust me, this is not
something you want to happen to you.
If you are not sure that swine flu will actually show up in your community, this
graph from the CDC shows why it is a certainty:
What does this graph show? Simply that the number of swine flu infections (the orange
bars) has NOT been damped out during the summer months of 2009 as happens with most influenza
viruses (like the seasonal strains shown by the blue and green bars). No, the new
strain has marched on regardless
, and will continue to do so.
Expectations are that the fall and winter seasons of 2009-2010 will see a MASSIVE
in the number of H1N1 swine flu infections. In fact it seems to have begun
as of mid September 2009. The image below shows the percentage of doctor's visits for
influenza-like symptoms. The red line shows the numbers for 2009
, and the very
early arrival of flu season (like nearly 5 months early). This is why you only have
a very short time to prepare, which you still can do if you act right now
If you leave this for a couple of weeks you can expect to be in panic mode as you
discover all flu prevention products have been cleared from the shelves of stores
across the nation.
Note: The beginning of September 2009 is marked by week 35 in this graph. The bumps
around week 7 (end of February) mark the arrival of seasonal flu. The explosion of
flu cases in September is attributed to the gathering momentum of swine flu now that
school is back in session and children (the primary vectors of flu) begin moving the
virus through communities.
If You Think You Might Be Confused About Swine Flu, You Are Absolutely Right!
The only people who are not confused about whether Swine Flu represents a
real public health threat are the experts - people who have studied the influenza
virus for years.
Pretty much everyone else is depending on the media for their information. The trouble
with this is that most journalists rely on a crash course in virology to get them up
to speed on the nature of the threat. This is why you find such diverging points of
view in news stories and editorials about swine flu. No wonder you are confused -
you are being fed inconsistent information, much of it wanting in credibility and
In contrast, if you were to
interview all the main influenza experts you would come away with one very simple
conclusion: these guys have been holding their breath for years
, waiting to see
whether the next pandemic will turn out to be the big one. They do not think it is
a matter of IF, but WHEN. The question on their minds today: Could swine flu yet
initiate a viral wildfire
that we are far from prepared to deal with?
The fact that no one is prepared to say this will not happen should tell you
something. That you are reading this page right now tells ME something. You
probably suspect that there really might be something to be concerned about
with swine flu. But you are not quite sure. There is that little voice inside
your head reminding you that it is better to be safe than sorry, but on the
other hand you do not want to be seen making a mountain out of a molehill.
After all, if something was going to happen it should have done so by now...
I suspect that for most people their concern about swine flu peaked the day
that the World Health Organization raised their warning level all the way up
to level 6 and declared that they were at "full pandemic status". Since then
most people seem to have taken the point of view that because the world has
not melted or anything, we might as well all go back to business as usual,
especially seeing how swine flu is about as harmful as a drink of water.
The trouble is, looks can be deceiving when it comes to strains of flu. The
last time we saw a flu strain like this novel H1N1 strain begin spreading around
the world, it ended with the deaths of about 100 million people
. It did not happen
that long ago either. It was 1918, less than a century ago, when an H1N1 strain
came out of nowhere during spring time, then vanished a month or two later without
causing much of a problem. But then it came back in the fall.
This time it was completely changed, and that dopey virus that caused little
loss of sleep in the early part of the year was suddenly dropping people in their
. Those that turned blue did not last very long, and in most cities around
the world they quickly ran out of coffins and had to stack corpses in makeshift
piles and bury them in mass graves.
Well, I could go on about the obvious parallels between the strain that emerged
in 1918 and the one we are dealing with in 2009. But really, I would only be
scratching the surface of a very involved story that actually goes back to
and something he did during the Civil War. Something which guaranteed
that even if nature acting on its own does not come up with a twin version of that
1918 strain, we may yet get to experience it again anyway.
This is just one of the surprising things you will discover in
Survive Pandemic Flu
, and I can guarantee you that those "idiot" WHO officials
that we all laughed at earlier when they raised the alarm and then nothing bad seemed
to happen, well, they aren't quite the idiots that they were made out to be.
Not by a long shot.
The Truth Of The Matter Is That You Can Avoid Infection And A Pandemic Can Still Kill You
When most people think about the prospect of a severe pandemic visiting their neck of
the woods, it is the fear of becoming infected that scares them. In the case of a flu
strain that kills as efficiently as the one that circled the world in 1918, the prospect
is hardly a comforting one. In the case of blue collar workers it is believed that in some
U.S. communities the mortality rate for those infected was as high as 10 percent. In more
epidemiologically isolated communities, like the Inuit Eskimo tribes of Alaska, the mortality
rate reached 90 percent and virtually wiped those communities off the map.
Swine Flu claimed more than
50 million lives in 1918-1919.
Less widely appreciated is that a pandemic need not even reach your door in order to be
able to kill you or a family member. During a severe pandemic you could literally starve
to death while never having come in close contact with the virus. This is just one of the
startling conclusions I reach in Survive Pandemic Flu
, which will have you
rethinking just how much you really understand about your own place in the world.
Because it turns out that we are a lot more delicately positioned than we like to believe.
Here is what I am talking about. Get up from your chair and head to the kitchen and
make a quick inventory of the amount of food you have. How long would it last you if
you discovered tomorrow that the shelves would be empty in the stores where you shop?
Most retailers today work on a "just in time" model - they stock just enough product
to keep the shelves full for a few days, and restock just as frequently as new
shipments come in. Nobody stores in quantity any more because their margins are too
thin to accommodate the extra expense. So any disruption to the fulfillment line
means rapid onset of delivery problems, to stores, to customers, to you and your family.
In the event of a national crisis that should knock out truck drivers - and this could
simply be due to fear that once they get in their trucks and embark on a long haul they
will not be available if a family member falls gravely ill during a pandemic - the panic
sweeping of inventory by consumers could easily clear store shelves in as little as
24 hours, leaving whatever you have in your cupboards as the only food and water you
may be able to get your hands on for weeks.
As I mentioned above, a virus that causes a severe pandemic does not need to reach
your door in order for it to claim your life or the life of a family member. It only
has to spread fear to get the job done. This is just one of the startling conclusions
you will reach yourself once you have read Survive Pandemic Flu
If Swine Flu Bothers You - This News
Will Really Freak You Out
If I was to ask you how lethal the current swine flu strain is, you would probably
say "not very?" and hope that things are going to stay that way. Well, me too.
But I have also been looking at this thing more closely, and the number I come up
with for the mortality rate so far is about 3 in every 10,000 new infections.
At least, that's how swine flu has been behaving up until mid 2009. Of course,
things can always change overnight, and that is why we have several major vaccine
companies racing to get a vaccine into the hands of the public before it is truly needed.
But that mortality rate is surprisingly low. Especially when you consider that the
last time an H1N1 swine flu virus began spreading unchecked in the human population
it eventually morphed into a killer that was capable of killing roughly 500 of
every 10,000 people newly infected. In some small and socially remote communities
the mortality rate reached a level equivalent to a stunning 9,000 of every 10,000
new infections. This makes the current swine flu virus with its 3 in 10,000 seem
like small potatoes indeed.
But it is important to note that the 1918 strain started out as small potatoes too,
and took six months or so to ramp up the numbers. No one knows if that might happen
again, but nobody who understands the highly mutating nature of influenza A is
prepared to rule out the possibility either. The amazing thing you will learn
while reading Survive Pandemic Flu, is that even if the current swine flu
strain never manages to become more deadly than it is right now, we could still
see a repeat of the 1918 episode from none other than the original virus itself.
How is that possible, you ask? It turns out that through an amazing chain of events
starting with Abraham Lincoln, who issued a proclamation to study diseases
on the battlefield during the Civil War, and ending with a molecular biologist who
was able to string the virus back together in 2005 after it had been dead
for nearly nine decades, the monster strain is alive and well and ready to wreak
havoc again the moment somebody in the lab gets sloppy with their safety protocols.
So do not let the slowness with which the new swine flu strain is becoming more
threatening lull you into complacency about pandemic influenza. There is now
something in the lab that ought to be keeping us all awake at night. Of course,
you will be getting the full story in Survive Pandemic Flu.
Will You Be Denied The Swine Flu Shot?
Nobody enjoys going to get a flu shot, but we do expect that if we want one,
getting in line for it should simply be a matter of showing up for the event.
But what if that was not the case? What if you discovered that you were actually
turned away from an inoculation center
because you did not fit a predefined
"profile" for who is eligible to receive a shot?
Ironically, in a year in which a pandemic strain is circling the globe, this
is a very real possibility. Right now we know for certain that swine flu vaccines
will be in short supply until sometime in 2010
. That means not everyone can be
vaccinated against the new pandemic virus.
In fact, vaccine manufacturers let it be known in mid August that instead of the
initial 120 million doses of swine flu vaccine that they had projected would be
made available for distribution to the U.S. population, only 45 million doses
were likely to materialize. But even that announcement turned out to be
and only about 20 million doses had materialized by late October 2009.
Not only is this not great news, we still do not know for certain that the new vaccine
will offer significant protection (though early indications are that it will). So the
availability and efficacy of swine flu vaccine is still very much up in the air.
Right now this is not a huge concern, because the virus has not claimed a large
number of lives. In fact, it has so far caused not much more misery than the seasonal flu,
which claims up to a half million lives across the globe every year. But that could
, and if the new swine flu strain suddenly proves to be significantly
more lethal than it has been to date, people will want to be vaccinated, and finding
themselves denied the shot could be very worrisome.
So who *will* be allowed to get the shot when it first becomes available? First
responders to emergencies need to remain healthy, as do doctors and other health
workers who will take care of the sick. Members of the military are also likely
to go into the line, as are children, who have shown a higher tendency to fall sick,
pregnant women, and anyone with cardiac problems, high blood pressure, or other
underlying health problems that can cause a lowered immune response.
If you are otherwise healthy, and you are an adult, then you will likely have to
go to the back of the line and wait until early 2010
before you can be vaccinated.
Given that the U.S. has been able to get its hands on only 20 million doses
of the new vaccine as of late October, only about one fifth of the population
of the United States, or less, will be able to be vaccinated during the first round.
But if you are NOT one of the lucky first to be vaccinated, and the virus does turn
significantly worse, all is not lost. There are still antiviral drugs
that can be
administered to break an infection that has got started in your body. Of course,
the swine flu vaccine and your antiviral options are completely covered in
Survive Pandemic Flu
, which was written in response to the emergence of
the new pandemic. The book goes into great detail about pandemic influenza, and what
you can do to protect both yourself and your family
from the threat.
Should You Be Afraid To Receive
The Swine Flu Vaccine?
I will certainly be getting the swine flu shot if it is offered to me this fall. But
not everyone is as sure about this as I am. A great many people actually think that
swine flu vaccines are dangerous
because of an incident that took place about 30
years ago. In fact, it has been reported that from a third to as much as half of the
parental population of the United States say that neither they nor their children
will take the swine flu vaccine if it is offered to them.
This is a rather shocking statistic
, but it is the reality of the situation. The
outcome of this decision by the anti-vaccine component of our society is clear - this
virus will be getting a huge assist
from them in its quest to infect every susceptible
host it can find. So why exactly has this happened?
Swine flu inoculations in 1976
Well, back in 1976 a decision was made to undertake a massive swine flu inoculation program
in the United States. It seemed like a good idea at the time, but two things happened
to throw mass vaccination programs into a bad light. For one thing, the anticipated
swine flu pandemic never arose
The other problem - which proved to be far more serious - was that (it appears)
contaminated vaccine triggered a severe neurological problem in several hundred
people who got the shot. This side effect was rare - about 1 case in every 100,000
inoculations. But because the pandemic never got started, there was no benefit to
having taken the vaccine, so the side effects completely dominated column space
in the newspapers of the day. The 1976 swine flu vaccine got a LOT of bad press.
To this day you cannot mention the topic of "swine flu vaccine" on the web without
people jumping in with all sorts of conspiracy theories relating to vaccine companies
and their intent to blanket the world with unsafe swine flu shots that will cause
far more misery than good.
In Survive Pandemic Flu
I do a little risk management which shows that if we
assume that the current swine flu virus
remains mild, and causes no more than 3 deaths
in every 10,000 infections, and if the risk of a vaccine side effect today is as high
as it was 30 years ago (very unlikely), then the likelihood of dying from a swine
flu infection is still about 10 times greater than dying from a side effect due
to a bad vaccine.
To be honest, I was surprised that the number is only 10, but this is a worse-case
scenario, and if today's vaccines are actually safer than the contaminated 1976 vaccines,
then the number might be as much as 100. Then there is the possibility of a more deadly
strain of swine flu arising
. If that happens, the number swells again.
The bottom line: Statistically speaking, you are
SIGNIFICANTLY better off getting vaccinated
against swine flu. If you want the full details, you will find them in
Survive Pandemic Flu
Because Nobody Knows If Swine Flu Will Worsen This Fall You Must Prepare
The truth is that nobody really knows whether swine flu will worsen in the coming months.
But we do know that the influenza virus is very unpredictable, and that we are only at
the very beginning of the pandemic, so the virus will not have had every chance to mutate
and grow more virulent (deadly) until it has infected most of the people who will
eventually come down with it.
What this means is that not until sometime in 2010 will we know exactly how this
pandemic is going to play out. So we have quite a way to go.
Because governments around the world recognize this, they are committing themselves
to swine flu vaccine development, and they are prepared to invest a great
deal of money to hedge their bets against the emergence of a far more aggressive virus.
The U.S. is preparing to spend up to $8.5 billion to protect its population.
Other countries are making similar investments.
At a time of global economic crisis, this huge financial commitment by nations
demonstrates that this pandemic threat is far more than hypothetical. Advisors to governments
are urging their leaders to prepare for the unexpected - and so should you,
just in case swine flu deaths become a regular topic of the nightly news.
Secretary for Health,
U.S. Dept. of Health and Human Services
"We do not know exactly how the virus will present during the fall flu season,
but our surveillance efforts have led scientists to believe the impact of the
virus could worsen this fall or earlier."
Admiral John O. Agwunobi
Pandemic Preparedness Expert,
Former Assistant Secretary for Health,
U.S. Dept. of Health and Human Services
"Advanced preparedness is critical and individual preparedness and
a culture of self sufficiency are essential. No one can afford to
wait until after an emergency begins in order to prepare."
What People Are Saying About The Book
Because the book is so new I do not have many testimonials to present, but here are
a few. If you enjoy the book and want to share your thoughts with others, by all means
send me something and I'll try to add it to my page.
Hayden Walker Alexander - Author, Speaker
I found Stephen Carter's book, "Surviving Pandemic Flu" to be absolutely fascinating. In fact,
I read it in one sitting. It is extremely interesting, exceptionally well written, and very
well researched. The book is a "Must Read" for anyone that at all cares about themselves,
their family, and friends.
Carter's book reveals the political, scientific, and economic concerns that have always,
and will always, keep effective treatment from the vast majority of the population.
It was an eye-opener for me and has given me a much better understanding of where we stand
globally with pandemic viruses. I now know what to watch for, how to prepare for, and how
to safeguard myself and my family from the inevitable, soon-coming pandemic.
Highly recommended reading.
I confess I was rather skeptical
Ann O Leary, Ireland
When I first came to Stephens's book I confess I was rather skeptical. I was of the belief
that flu is a self limiting infection which is only ever serious in the immunocompromised.
I also thought that pandemics of the past were very much a consequence of poor living
conditions. I now know that while this may be true for seasonal flu the possibility
of a virulent strain developing is a real threat.
This book outlines in great detail the biology of the influenza viruses. It also places
the disease in historical context and deals not only with medical issues but with important
social and economic concerns. Treatment and prevention options are outlined and plenty
of additional resource information is made available.
Stephen argues convincingly that pandemic flu is a very real threat to us. His book is very
readable and packed with information and practical advice. It brings together in one
publication all the concerns surrounding this disease. While we may not be able to stop
a pandemic, being better informed will at least help us to cope more effectively.
Exactly what I needed...
Tom R. Malcolm
As a fiancee, father of three girls, and son to my elderly mother, the threat of swine flu
had me concerned. But I was scratching my head on what I should do about it because there
have been so many conflicting instructions in the news, you end up doing nothing.
Stephens book "Survive Pandemic Flu" lays it all out by providing a reality check on what
to expect if and when this flu breaks and exactly what to do about it right down to an
Action Plan. Knowledge is the first line of defense and this book provides it in a way
I can understand. I highly recommend getting it now, as the time to know what to do about
this potential disaster is now, not when the public becomes panicked over a huge outbreak.
A book that could quite simply save your life
I was skeptical of all the hype surrounding 'bird flu' and 'swine flu' - and thought it was
just another tactic used by the big pharmaceutical companies to sell more vaccines and
anti-viral drugs (not to mention great scare-fare for the cable news networks). But after
reading Stephen Carter's excellent book on the subject, I no longer feel that way.
Survive Pandemic Flu is a book that could quite simply save your life - and the lives of your
With so much misconception on the subject, and mis-information being circulated, this book
is a "must read" for anyone who wants true inside knowledge of how the great pandemics
in history came about and what you can do to protect yourself against the next one.
In a clear, concise, and easy to read format, Stephen lays out exactly what you'll need
and how you'll need to respond when the next big one hits.
Don't get caught off guard. Read this book today. That way you will be one of the few
who are ready for the worst, and have the best chance at survival.
What Is Covered In The Book?
Personally, I find it very frustrating when authors will only hint at what you will
discover inside their book. I do not want to play that game with you. I think this subject
matter is of extreme importance, and I want to show you that I am serious about providing
you with just the sort of information that you need to know - about this pandemic,
about how to prepare for it, and about how to respond to infection in the event
that it reaches your home when the number of swine flu cases in your neighborhood
The book runs to about 170 pages and covers all of the basic facets
of this subject. So here it is. In the box below, you will find the complete table
of contents for Survive Pandemic Flu: Understand and Protect Against Novel Strains Of Influenza.
This is all new material written in 2009 in response to the emerging swine flu pandemic.
Survive Pandemic Flu
Table of Contents
- Is This For Real?
Understanding Pandemic Influenza
- Just How Scared Should We Be Of Bird Flu Or Swine Flu?
- 1918 - When Monsters Come Out To Play
- How Likely Is A Repeat Of The 1918 Episode?
- Blame It On The Birds
- The Broiler House Theory Of Pandemics
- Where Did The 1918 Strain Come From?
- What The Mathematical Models Say
- Replikins - Did They Really Predict The 2009 Pandemic?
- From Nuisance To Killer Flu
- The Biology Of Influenza Viruses
- Seasonal Versus Novel Influenza Strains
- A Closer Look At Swine Flu H1N1/2009
- The Andromeda Strain: Fact and Fiction
- Spanish Flu - Alive And Well, Once Again
- Yes, The Science Is Dazzling. But What Have We Learned?
- Containment And Isolation. Possible Or Impossible?
- Drugs and Vaccines. Why Your Chances Are Slim To None
- Revenge Of The Animals
- The Second Age Of Vaccines
- What Happened With The Swine Flu Vaccine In 1976?
- Should I Get Vaccinated For Swine Flu?
- What About Adjuvants In The Vaccine?
- Vaccines And Children
- Your Drug Of Choice
- Why Do Strains Become Resistant?
- Are You Especially Susceptible?
- Modes Of Transmission
- Direct and Indirect Contact
- Airborne Pathways
- Do Face Masks Confer Any Benefit?
- Time To Take Fresh Meat Off The Menu?
- Symptoms Of Infection
- Presentation of Seasonal Influenza
- Presentation of H1N1 Swine Flu Infection
- Presentation of H5N1 Bird Flu Infection
- Response To Infection
- Period Of Infection
- Emergency Warning Signs
- Treating The Sick From Home
- Guarding Against Dehydration - HIGH PRIORITY
- Pain Management
- Good Home Treatment Of Influenza
- Facing The Unthinkable - Katrina Everywhere
- Preparation and Stockpiling
- Stockpiling Food And Water Supplies - For How Long?
- Power Sources
- Saved By The TV?
- Protecting Your Livelihood
- Get Vaccinated
- Begin Stockpiling Today
Can You Afford Not To Read This Book?
If you are thinking you have a fairly good understanding of what is going on with
the swine flu situation right now I can guarantee that this is not the case.
This story is so complex that no one understands the full ramifications
of the current pandemic.
Influenza is an illness that we tend to take for granted, until it strikes us hard
during those times in our lives that we are not bodily prepared to properly defend
against it. When that happens you experience a miserable couple of weeks
during which you feel like death is not the far off event you normally consider it to be.
Even if you have been lucky during the past decade or so and you have
escaped infection from seasonal flu (I have done well for the last eight years)
the likelihood that you will be infected in the 2009 - 2010 period is higher
than it has been in more than forty years.
On top of this, with swine flu vaccine being in severe short supply,
the 2009 fall flu season is showing every sign that it will kick off the worst
flu season in more than forty years. Are you fully prepared for it? Can you
honestly say that you have done everything in your power to protect your family
I wrote Survive Pandemic Flu to increase the odds that you and your family will
be able to escape infection by fielding a heightened awareness of what exactly it is that
you are dealing with and how you can reduce the likelihood that swine flu will
make its way to your front door. I hope you will take advantage of those efforts because I
am fully confident that your family will benefit from you having done so.
Think about it this way, if someone in your family falls ill shortly the economic
cost to you alone will be in the hundreds of dollars, if not thousands (just
think about time you need to take off work and projects that are delayed because of
the lost time). This is not to mention the mental and physical cost that
accompanies infection when a pandemic infiltrates your home.